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Gold BREAKOUT…good or bad news? 231214

This week’s Fed FOMC meeting solidified investor hopes for lower interest rates in 2024.  I’m not sure why, nothing has changed.  But…as a result, both gold and stocks are attempting to breakout.  Will this positive correlation hold?  Is it a harbinger of good or bad things to come?

Below are three charts comparing gold to the S&P 500- before, during and after the last Great Recession.  Note the extreme volatility, magnitude and positive/negative correlations, depending on the business cycle phase.  There are no easy answers, but I don’t necessary see the breakout in gold as a good thing for 2024.

As supplemental information, here’s a 60 second video showing more charts from this period.